• Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change 

      Grossmann, Igor; Rotella, Amanda; Hutcherson, Cendri A.; Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn; Varnum, Michael E. W.; Achter, Sebastian; Dhami, Mandeep K.; Guo, Xinqi Evie; Kara-Yakoubian, Mane; Mandel, David R.; Raes, Louis; Tay, Louis; Vie, Aymeric; Wagner, Lisa; Adamkovic, Matus; Arami, Arash; Arriaga, Patrícia; Bandara, Kasun; Baník, Gabriel; Bartoš, František; Baskin, Ernest; Bergmeir, Christoph; Białek, Michał; Børsting, Caroline K.; Browne, Dillon T.; Caruso, Eugene M.; Chen, Rong; Chie, Bin-Tzong; Chopik, William J.; Collins, Robert N.; Cong, Chin Wen; Conway, Lucian G.; Davis, Matthew; Day, Martin V.; Dhaliwal, Nathan A.; Durham, Justin D.; Dziekan, Martyna; Elbaek, Christian T.; Shuman, Eric; Fabrykant, Marharyta; Firat, Mustafa; Fong, Geoffrey T.; Frimer, Jeremy A.; Gallegos, Jonathan M.; Goldberg, Simon B.; Gollwitzer, Anton; Goyal, Julia; Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz; Gronlund, Scott D.; Hafenbrädl, Sebastian; Hartanto, Andree; Hirshberg, Matthew J.; Hornsey, Matthew J.; Howe, Piers D. L.; Izadi, Anoosha; Jaeger, Bastian; Kačmár, Pavol; Kim, Yeun Joon; Krenzler, Ruslan; Lannin, Daniel G.; Lin, Hung-Wen; Lou, Nigel Mantou; Lua, Verity Y. Q.; Lukaszewski, Aaron W.; Ly, Albert L.; Madan, Christopher R.; Maier, Maximilian; Majeed, Nadyanna M.; March, David S.; Marsh, Abigail A.; Misiak, Michal; Myrseth, Kristian Ove R.; Napan, Jaime M.; Nicholas, Jonathan; Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos; O, Jiaqing; Otterbring, Tobias; Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola; Pauer, Shiva; Protzko, John; Raffaelli, Quentin; Ropovik, Ivan; Ross, Robert M.; Roth, Yefim; Røysamb, Espen; Schnabel, Landon; Schütz, Astrid; Seifert, Matthias; Sevincer, A.T.; Sherman, Garrick T.; Simonsson, Otto; Sung, Ming-Chien; Tai, Chung-Ching; Talhelm, Thomas; Teachman, Bethany A.; Tetlock, Philip E.; Thomakos, Dimitrios; Tse, Dwight C. K.; Twardus, Oliver J.; Tybur, Joshua M.; Ungar, Lyle; Vandermeulen, Daan; Vaughan Williams, Leighton; Vosgerichian, Hrag A.; Wang, Qi; Wang, Ke; Whiting, Mark E.; Wollbrant, Conny E.; Yang, Tao; Yogeeswaran, Kumar; Yoon, Sangsuk; Alves, Ventura R.; Andrews-Hanna, Jessica R.; Bloom, Paul A.; Boyles, Anthony; Charis, Loo; Choi, Mingyeong; Darling-Hammond, Sean; Ferguson, Z.E.; Kaiser, Cheryl R.; Karg, Simon T.; Ortega, Alberto López; Mahoney, Lori; Marsh, Melvin S.; Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C.; Michaels, Eli K.; Millroth, Philip; Naqvi, Jeanean B.; Ng, Weiting; Rutledge, Robb B.; Slattery, Peter; Smiley, Adam H.; Strijbis, Oliver; Sznycer, Daniel; Tsukayama, Eli; van Loon, Austin; Voelkel, Jan G.; Wienk, Margaux N. A.; Wilkening, Tom (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2023)
      How well can social scientists predict societal change, and what processes underlie their predictions? To answer these questions, we ran two forecasting tournaments testing the accuracy of predictions of societal change ...
    • National identity predicts public health support during a global pandemic 

      Van Bavel, Jay J.; Cichocka, Aleksandra; Capraro, V; Sjåstad, Hallgeir; Nezlek, J. B.; Pavlovic, T; Alfano, Mark; Gelfand, M.J.; Azevedo, F.; Birtel, M.D.; Cislak, A.; Lockwood, P.L.; Ross, R.M.; Abts, K.; Agadullina, E.; Aruta, J.J.B.; Besharati, S.N.; Bor, A.; Choma, B.L.; Crabtree, C.D.; Cunningham, W.A.; De, K.; Ejaz, W.; Elbæk, C.T.; Findor, A.; Flichtenrei, Daniel; Franc, R.; Gjoneska, B.; Gruber, J.; Gualda, E.; Horiuchi, Y.; Huynh, T.L.D.; Ibanez, A.; Imran, M.A.; Israelashvili, Jacob; Jasko, K.; Kantorowicz, J.; Kantorowicz-Reznichenko, E.; Krouwel, André; Laakasuo, M.; Lamm, C.; Leygue, C.; Lin, Ming-Jen; Mansoor, M.S.; Marie, Antoine; Mayiwar, L.; Mazepus, H.; Mc-Hugh, C.; Minda, J.P.; Mitkidis, P.; Olsson, Andreas; Otterbring, Anders Emil Tobias; Packer, D.J.; Perry, A.; Petersen, M.B.; Puthillam, Arathy; Riano-Moreno, J.C.; Rothmund, T.; Santamaria-Garcia, H.; Schmid, P.C.; Stoyanov, D.; Tewari, S.; Todosijevic, B.; Tsakiris, Manos; Tung, H.H.; Umbres, R.G.; Vanags, E.; Vlasceanu, Madalina; Vonasch, Andrew; Yucel, Meltem; Zhang, Y.; Abad, Mohcine; Adler, Eli; Akrawi, Narin; Alaoui Mdarhri, H; Amara, Hanane; Amodio, D.M.; Antazo, B.G.; Apps, Matthew; Ay, F.C.; Ba, M.H.; Barbosa, Sergio; Bastian, Brock; Berg, Anton; Bernal-Zarate, M.P.; Bernstein, Michael; Bialek, Michal; Bilancini, Ennio; Bogatyreva, Natalia; Boncinelli, Leonardo; Booth, J.E.; Borau, Sylvie; Buchel, Ondrej; Cameron, C.D.; Carvalho, C.F.; Celadin, Tatiana; Cerami, Chiara; Chalise, H.N.; Cheng, Xiaojun; Cian, Luca; Cockcroft, Kate; Conway, Jane; Cordoba-Delgado, M.A.; Crespi, Chiara; Crouzevialle, Marie; Cutler, Jo; Cypryanska, M; Dabrowska, Justyna; Daniels, M.A.; Davis, V.H.; Dayley, P.N.; Delouvee, Sylvain; Denkovski, Ognjan; Dezecache, Guillaume; Dhaliwal, N.A.; Diato, A.B.; Di Paolo, Roberto; Drosinou, Marianna; Dulleck, Uwe; Ekmanis, Jānis; Ertan, A.S.; Etienne, Tom W.; Farhana, H.H.; Farkhari, Fahima; Farmer, Harry; Fenwick, Ali; Fidanovski, Kristijan; Flew, Terry; Fraser, Shona; Frempong, R.B.; Fugelsang, J.A.; Gale, Jessica; Garcia-Navarro, E.B.; Garladinne, Prasad; Ghajjou, Oussama; Gkinopoulos, Theofilos; Gray, Kurt; Griffin, Siobhán M.; Gronfeldt, Bjarki; Gümren, Mert; Gurung, Ranju Lama; Halperin, Eran; Harris, Elizabeth; Herzon, Volo; Hruška, Matej; Huang, Guanxiong; Hudecek, Matthias F. C.; Isler, Ozan; Jangard, Simon; Jørgensen, Frederik J.; Kachanoff, Frank; Kahn, John; Katuwal Dangol, A; Keudel, Oleksandra; Koppel, Lina; Koverola, Mika; Kubin, Emily; Kunnari, Anton; Kutiyski, Yordan; Laguna, Oscar; Leota, Josh; Lermer, Eva; Levy, Jonathan; Levy, Neil; Li, Chunyun; Long, Elizabeth U.; Longoni, Chiara; Maglic, M; McCashin, Darragh; Metcalf, Alexander L.; Miklousic, I; Mimouni, S; Miura, Asako; Molina-Paredes, Juliana; Monroy-Fonseca, César; Morales-Marente, Elena; Moreau, David; Muda, Rafał; Myer, Annalisa; Nash, Kyle; Nesh-Nash, Tarik; Nitschke, Jonas P.; Nurse, Matthew S.; Ohtsubo, Y.; Oldemburgo de Mello, Victoria; O'Madagain, C; Onderco, Michal; Palacios-Galvez, M. Soledad; Palomakki, J; Pan, Yafeng; Papp, Zsófia; Pärnamets, Philip; Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola; Pavlovic, Zoran; Payán-Gómez, César; Perander, Silva; Pitman, Michael Mark; Prasad, Rajib; Pyrkosz-Pacyna, Joanna; Rathje, Steve; Raza, Ali; Rêgo, Gabriel G.; Rhee, Kasey; Robertson, Claire E.; Rodríguez-Pascual, Iván; Saikkonen, Teemu; Salvador-Ginez, Octavio; Sampaio, Waldir M.; Santi, Gaia C.; Santiago-Tovar, Natalia; Savage, David; Scheffer, Julian A.; Schönegger, Philipp; Schultner, David T.; Schutte, Enid M.; Scott, Andy; Sharma, Madhavi; Sharma, Pujan; Skali, Ahmed; Stadelmann, David; Stafford, Clara Alexandra; Stanojevic, D; Stefaniak, Anna; Sternisko, Anni; Stoica, Augustin; Stoyanova, Kristina K.; Strickland, Brent; Sundvall, Jukka; Thomas, Jeffrey P.; Tinghög, Gustav; Torgler, Benno; Traast, Iris J.; Tucciarelli, Raffaele; Tyrala, Michael; Ungson, Nick D.; Uysal, Mete S.; Van Lange, Paul A. M.; van Prooijen, W; van Rooy, Dirk; Västfjäll, Daniel; Verkoeijen, Peter; Vieira, Joana B.; von Sikorski, Christian; Walker, Alexander Cameron; Watermeyer, Jennifer; Wetter, Erik; Whillans, Ashley; Willardt, Robin; Wohl, Michael J. A.; Wójcik, Adrian Dominik; Wu, Kaidi; Yamada, Yuki; Yilmaz, Onurcan; Yogeeswaran, Kumar; Ziemer, Carolin-Theresa; Zwaan, Rolf A.; Boggio, Paulo S. (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2022)
      Changing collective behaviour and supporting non-pharmaceutical interventions is an important component in mitigating virus transmission during a pandemic. In a large international collaboration (Study 1, N = 49,968 across ...